Chonburi FCvs
Prachuap
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Prachuap · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chonburi FC 1-2 Prachuap
Original prediction
Prachuap
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.7% | 28.2% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 26.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.5% | 45.1% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Prachuap
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Prachuap has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00