Choletvs
Chateauroux
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chateauroux · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cholet are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWDW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Chateauroux are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DDLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chateauroux hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Ligue 3, while Chateauroux holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chateauroux
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Chateauroux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/1.25
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75