Chojniczanka Chojnicevs
Podhale Nowy Targ
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podhale Nowy Targ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-2 Podhale Nowy Targ
Original prediction
Podhale Nowy Targ
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 34.9% | 34.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.3% | 28.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.8% | 37.6% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Podhale Nowy Targ
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Podhale Nowy Targ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20