Chojniczanka Chojnicevs
Olimpia Grudziądz
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chojniczanka Chojnice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-1 Olimpia Grudziądz
Original prediction
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.1% | 39.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.1% | 27.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 34.8% | 33.6% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Chojniczanka Chojnice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60