Chojniczanka Chojnicevs
Legia Warszawa II
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chojniczanka Chojnice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-3 Legia Warszawa II
Original prediction
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.9% | 43.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.0% | 24.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.1% | 32.0% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Chojniczanka Chojnice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60