Chitipa Unitedvs
MAFCO
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 10/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chitipa United 0-0 MAFCO, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chitipa United 2-0 MAFCO
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.9% | 37.5% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.7% | 36.2% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.4% | 26.3% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Projected Score
Chitipa United 0–0 MAFCO
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Chitipa UnitedDDWLW
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
MAFCOLLDLL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chitipa UnitedMAFCO
24.4Attack26.7
64.4Defence62.2
46.7Form28.9
48.0Power40.5
0.61xG0.51