Chitipa Unitedvs
CIVO United
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 5/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Chitipa United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CIVO United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chitipa United hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.8% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
33.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60