GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chitipa United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CIVO United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chitipa United hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.8% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

33.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chitipa UnitedLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CIVO UnitedWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chitipa UnitedCIVO United
25.0Attack16.7
58.3Defence63.9
44.4Form30.6
45.5Power40.0
0.59xG0.52
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