Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lancing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chipstead are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Lancing are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lancing hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the FA Trophy, while Lancing holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lancing
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Lancing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00