Chippenham Townvs
Frome Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frome Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chippenham Town 0-2 Frome Town
Original prediction
Frome Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.8% | 23.4% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.9% | 24.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.3% | 52.5% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Frome Town
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Frome Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80