Chippenham Townvs
Berkhamsted
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chippenham Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chippenham Town 1-2 Berkhamsted
Original prediction
Chippenham Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.8% | 38.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 25.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.8% | 35.9% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Chippenham Town
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Chippenham Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20