GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chippenham Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chippenham Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aveley are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aveley hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the National League - South, while Chippenham Town holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chippenham Town

Probability

34.0%

Model confidence

34.0%

Chippenham Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chippenham TownWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AveleyWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Chippenham TownAveley
44.9Attack49.3
55.1Defence55.8
44.9Form52.9
50.2Power54.4
1.26xG1.23
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