Chindia Targovistevs
Viitorul Şelimbăr
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/13/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chindia Targoviste · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chindia Targoviste 4-0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
Original prediction
Chindia Targoviste
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 58.8% | 51.3% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.0% | 25.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 18.2% | 23.3% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Chindia Targoviste
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Chindia Targoviste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60