Chindia Targovistevs
CSM Satu Mare
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/25/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chindia Targoviste · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chindia Targoviste 2-0 CSM Satu Mare, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chindia Targoviste 3-2 CSM Satu Mare
Original prediction
Chindia Targoviste
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.4% | 74.0% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.1% | 17.1% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 5.84 | 15.5% | 8.9% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Projected Score
Chindia Targoviste 2–0 CSM Satu Mare
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Chindia Targoviste
Probability
74.0%
Model confidence
74.0%
Chindia Targoviste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40