Chindia Targovistevs
Concordia
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chindia Targoviste · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chindia Targoviste 3-2 Concordia
Original prediction
Chindia Targoviste
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.9% | 55.6% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 21.6% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.5% | 22.8% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Chindia Targoviste
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Chindia Targoviste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00