China Wvs
South Korea W
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games Women · 10/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Korea W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
China W 0-1 South Korea W
Original prediction
South Korea W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.3% | 35.2% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 27.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 47.9% | 37.7% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
South Korea W
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
South Korea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20