China Wvs
Philippines W
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games Women · 9/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
China W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
China W 5-1 Philippines W
Original prediction
China W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 82.5% | 53.7% | -28.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.62 | 11.8% | 22.9% | 11.1 pts |
| Away | 16.15 | 5.6% | 23.4% | 17.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
China W
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
China W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00