China PR U23vs
Uzbekistan U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uzbekistan U23 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
China PR U23 2-2 Uzbekistan U23
Original prediction
Uzbekistan U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.87 | 18.6% | 25.7% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.6% | 26.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.8% | 47.9% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Uzbekistan U23
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Uzbekistan U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40