China PR U23vs
UAE U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 9/23/2026, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
China PR U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
China PR U23 0-0 UAE U23
Original prediction
China PR U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.4% | 45.1% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.8% | 27.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.92 | 22.8% | 27.3% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
China PR U23
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
China PR U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60