China PR U23vs
Korea DPR U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
China PR U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
China PR U23 2-1 Korea DPR U23
Original prediction
China PR U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.6% | 39.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.2% | 27.5% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.2% | 33.2% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
China PR U23
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
China PR U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00