Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chile U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chile U19 1-2 Peru U19
Original prediction
Chile U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.5% | 35.7% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.0% | 29.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.5% | 34.8% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Chile U19
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Chile U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Chile U19No completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Peru U19LW
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Chile U19Peru U19
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.11xG1.25