GGOALVIO

Colombia · Copa Colombia · 2/15/2023, 10:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chico · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chico are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chico hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Copa Colombia, while Chico holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chico

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Chico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChicoWWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Real CartagenaWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
ChicoReal Cartagena
50.0Attack33.3
75.0Defence50.0
41.7Form16.7
54.1Power36.5
1.49xG0.84
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