Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Chico are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Jaguares are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Jaguares hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00