GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chichester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chichester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gloucester City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chichester City hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chichester City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chichester City

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Chichester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chichester CityLWLDD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gloucester CityDLLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Chichester CityGloucester City
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power26.7
1.81xG1.13
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