Chicago Red Stars Wvs
Washington Spirit W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/20/2026, 9:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chicago Red Stars W 0-2 Washington Spirit W, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chicago Red Stars W 0-3 Washington Spirit W
Original prediction
Washington Spirit W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.54 | 11.9% | 20.1% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.03 | 17.8% | 24.4% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.28 | 70.3% | 55.4% | -14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Projected Score
Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Washington Spirit W
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Washington Spirit W
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20