GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Chicago Red Stars W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Utah Royals W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Utah Royals W hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the NWSL Women, while Utah Royals W holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Red Stars WLWLLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Utah Royals WDWWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Red Stars WUtah Royals W
15.8Attack58.3
40.4Defence61.7
22.8Form60.0
29.8Power60.9
0.58xG2.09
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