Chicago Red Stars Wvs
Seattle Reign FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Reign FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-2 (15%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chicago Red Stars W 1-3 Seattle Reign FC W
Original prediction
Seattle Reign FC W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.49 | 12.0% | 21.3% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.3% | 25.7% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 68.7% | 53.0% | -15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–215%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Seattle Reign FC W
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Seattle Reign FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20