GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chicago Red Stars W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Diego Wave W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the NWSL Women, while San Diego Wave W holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego Wave W

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Red Stars WWLLLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
San Diego Wave WLDWWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Red Stars WSan Diego Wave W
15.8Attack41.7
40.4Defence65.0
22.8Form55.0
29.8Power55.9
0.54xG1.47
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