GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Louisville W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chicago Red Stars W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Racing Louisville W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and racing Louisville W hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (29.2 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the NWSL Women, favouring Racing Louisville W with 13.1% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Louisville W

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

13.1%

Racing Louisville W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Red Stars WDLLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Racing Louisville WWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Chicago Red Stars WRacing Louisville W
17.6Attack44.4
35.3Defence35.2
23.5Form31.5
29.2Power39.2
1.05xG1.61
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