GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/26/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando Pride W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Chicago Red Stars W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Orlando Pride W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Orlando Pride W hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the NWSL Women, while Orlando Pride W holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando Pride W

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

14.3%

Orlando Pride W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Red Stars WWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Orlando Pride WDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Chicago Red Stars WOrlando Pride W
15.8Attack40.4
40.4Defence49.1
22.8Form40.4
29.8Power44.7
0.81xG1.38
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