Chicago Red Stars Wvs
North Carolina Courage W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Carolina Courage W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chicago Red Stars W 0-6 North Carolina Courage W
Original prediction
North Carolina Courage W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.82 | 15.4% | 21.6% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 19.8% | 24.4% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 64.8% | 54.1% | -10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
North Carolina Courage W
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00