GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chicago Red Stars W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while NJ/NY Gotham FC W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and NJ/NY Gotham FC W hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the NWSL Women, while NJ/NY Gotham FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Red Stars WWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
NJ/NY Gotham FC WWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Chicago Red Stars WNJ/NY Gotham FC W
15.8Attack43.3
40.4Defence78.3
22.8Form71.7
29.8Power66.6
0.38xG1.58
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