GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kansas City W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chicago Red Stars W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Kansas City W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kansas City W hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the NWSL Women, while Kansas City W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kansas City W

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Red Stars WLWLDD

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kansas City WWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Red Stars WKansas City W
15.8Attack51.7
40.4Defence53.3
22.8Form50.0
29.8Power51.9
0.73xG1.80
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