GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/16/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kansas City W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chicago Red Stars W are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Kansas City W are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kansas City W hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the NWSL Women, while Kansas City W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kansas City W

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Red Stars WLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Kansas City WLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Chicago Red Stars WKansas City W
15.8Attack51.7
40.4Defence53.3
22.8Form50.0
29.8Power51.9
0.73xG1.80
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