Chicago Red Stars Wvs
Houston Dash W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dash W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chicago Red Stars W 1-3 Houston Dash W
Original prediction
Houston Dash W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.0% | 18.2% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.0% | 21.7% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.0% | 60.1% | 15.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Houston Dash W
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Houston Dash W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60