Chicago Red Stars Wvs
Denver Summit W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Denver Summit W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chicago Red Stars W 0-3 Denver Summit W
Original prediction
Denver Summit W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.47 | 13.9% | 12.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.93 | 18.3% | 17.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.33 | 67.8% | 70.3% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Denver Summit W
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
Denver Summit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 19 · avg 0.60/3.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00