GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bay FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chicago Red Stars W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bay FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and bay FC hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (29.2 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the NWSL Women, favouring Bay FC with 15.5% confidence, a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bay FC W

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

15.5%

Bay FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Red Stars WLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bay FC WLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Chicago Red Stars WBay FC W
17.6Attack35.3
35.3Defence52.9
23.5Form35.3
29.2Power42.9
0.75xG1.30
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