GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chicago Fire are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 77.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

10.9%

Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago FireDDWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Portland TimbersLDDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago FirePortland Timbers
85.7Attack60.0
71.4Defence80.0
66.7Form86.7
70.7Power77.7
2.01xG1.19
View match centre →