Chicago Firevs
Portland Timbers
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chicago Fire 2-1 Portland Timbers
Original prediction
Chicago Fire
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Chicago FireWWWWL
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Portland TimbersWLWWW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Chicago FirePortland Timbers
62.7Attack61.1
54.9Defence38.9
56.9Form44.4
58.6Power48.4
2.56xG1.48