Chicago Firevs
Atlanta United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/12/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Chicago Fire are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
11.6%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80