GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Chicago Fire II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Toronto II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire II hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chicago Fire II holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire II

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

8.6%

Chicago Fire II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Fire IIWWLWD

GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Toronto IILWLLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chicago Fire IIToronto II
68.3Attack51.7
50.0Defence36.7
50.0Form40.0
55.4Power43.6
2.94xG1.40
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