GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/30/2023, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chicago Fire II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Toronto II are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire II hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chicago Fire II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire II

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

Chicago Fire II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Fire IIWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Toronto IIL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/4.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Chicago Fire IIToronto II
68.2Attack56.1
48.5Defence36.4
50.0Form42.4
55.0Power45.7
2.93xG1.58
View match centre →