Chicago Fire IIvs
Philadelphia Union II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chicago Fire II 1-2 Philadelphia Union II
Original prediction
Chicago Fire II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.9% | 47.4% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.8% | 24.3% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.3% | 28.4% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire II
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Chicago Fire II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00