GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Lowconfidence

Chicago Fire II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Cincinnati II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire II hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chicago Fire II holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire II

Probability

79.6%

Model confidence

9.3%

Chicago Fire II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Fire IIWLWDD

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC Cincinnati IIDLLDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chicago Fire IIFC Cincinnati II
68.3Attack34.9
46.0Defence28.6
47.6Form22.2
53.4Power30.6
3.43xG0.99
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