GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crown Legacy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Chicago Fire II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Crown Legacy are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Crown Legacy hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the MLS Next Pro, while Crown Legacy holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crown Legacy

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

7.4%

Crown Legacy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Fire IILDLDD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Crown LegacyDDWDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Fire IICrown Legacy
68.3Attack81.8
46.0Defence54.5
47.6Form65.2
53.4Power66.3
1.96xG2.58
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