Chicago Fire IIvs
Chattanooga
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chicago Fire II 0-1 Chattanooga
Original prediction
Chattanooga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.5% | 34.2% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.7% | 19.9% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.8% | 45.9% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80