GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Chicago Fire II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chattanooga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chicago Fire II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire II

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

8.6%

Chicago Fire II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chicago Fire IILDLWD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChattanoogaWLLDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chicago Fire IIChattanooga
68.3Attack62.1
46.0Defence54.5
47.6Form59.1
53.4Power59.2
2.00xG1.92
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