Chiangrai Unitedvs
Sisaket United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chiangrai United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chiangrai United 0-1 Sisaket United
Original prediction
Chiangrai United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.5% | 48.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.3% | 27.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.1% | 24.5% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Chiangrai United
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Chiangrai United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60