Chiangrai Unitedvs
Ratchaburi
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ratchaburi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chiangrai United 1-2 Ratchaburi
Original prediction
Ratchaburi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.4% | 29.0% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.3% | 27.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.3% | 43.8% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Ratchaburi
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Ratchaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80