Chiangrai Unitedvs
Chonburi FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chiangrai United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chiangrai United 1-0 Chonburi FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chiangrai United 1-0 Chonburi FC
Original prediction
Chiangrai United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.1% | 47.9% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.1% | 27.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 32.8% | 24.8% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Projected Score
Chiangrai United 1–0 Chonburi FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Chiangrai United
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Chiangrai United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20