GGOALVIO

Thailand · Thai League 2 · 8/25/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chiangmai United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Chiangmai United are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Suphanburi are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chiangmai United hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Thai League 2, while Chiangmai United holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chiangmai United

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Chiangmai United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chiangmai UnitedLW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
SuphanburiWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Chiangmai UnitedSuphanburi
50.0Attack35.3
59.3Defence59.8
46.3Form42.2
52.7Power47.3
1.31xG0.78
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